journal article

Measuring Taiwan’s Power and Resilience: Capabilities, Strategic Culture, and Geopolitical Agents amid Cognitive Warfare

Morgado N.; Hosoda T.

Publication year: 2025
Source / journal: asian international studies review
Country of origin: Czech Republic;Hungary
Language: English
Institution type: Academic, Military, Think Tank
Authors’ affiliations: Corvinus University of Budapest, Hungary Future Potentials Observatory, Budapest, Hungary; University of Defense, Brno, Czech Republic; Future Potentials Observatory, Budapest, Hungary
Academic discipline: Military Influence & Security Doctrine; Cognitive & Behavioral Sciences; Network Science (SNA / ONA); Human–Machine & Algorithmic Mediation
Actors: China; Military / Armed Forces; Population / Civil Society
Contribution type: Theoretical
Import source: Scopus export

Abstract

The power projection of Taiwan/the Republic of China (ROC) is constrained by many factors, including its geographical setting. In this context, it matters to investigate whether ROC geopolitical agents (GAs) are taking sufficient steps to transform potential into power, thereby ensuring the resilience of the society. We hypothesize that the role of GAs may be of greater weight in foreign policy outcomes than the literature on structural approaches suggests. As an alternative to conventional wisdom, this paper examines the policies of ROC related to overcoming vulnerabilities in potential. Our analysis shows that although ROC GAs have been working to overcome such vulnerabilities, their approach has not been successful for two main reasons: firstly, measures taken so far have not been designed to face the scenario of a complete blockade of Taiwan and, secondly, these GAs do not wish to be perceived by the public as overreacting to military threats. © Nuno Morgado and Takashi Hosoda, 2025.

Author keywords

cognitive warfare; geography; geopolitical agents; potential; power; taiwan

Open source Open DOI