conference paper
Strategic Engineering to support Decision Makers in Complex Systems: Innovative Models for Cognitive Warfare Simulation
Abstract
In the modern scenario of cognitive warfare, understanding, predicting and manage human behavior in response to various strategies is a crucial goal. Cognitive warfare, a critical component of modern hybrid warfare, presents a complex challenge. Hybrid warfare blends traditional military actions with cyber operations, information manipulation, and psychological tactics, creating an intricate battlefield where the cognitive domain is increasingly targeted. This paper presents an advanced simulator, named CW-SINON (Cognitive Warfare- Simulation, artificial Intelligence & Neural networks for modeling human behaviors in Operations, population and social Networks), incorporating multiple Human Behavior Models (HBM) to replicate the impacts of cognitive attacks, Behavioral Psychological Social Models (BPSM), kinetic actions, and hybrid warfare initiatives. Our simulator uniquely evaluates these impacts across multiple players, institutions, and populations, taking into account their intricate structures and interactions. The core of our methodology is the Strategic Engineering Paradigm, which integrates Modeling & Simulation, Artificial Intelligence, and Data Analytics to provide robust support for decision-makers. A Design of Experiment (DoE) and ANOVA (Analysis of Variance) were performed in order to validate and verify dynamically the models, optimal duration and replication to obtain estimates on target functions. © 2024 The Authors.
Author keywords
cognitive warfare, human behavior modeling, hybrid warfare, modeling and simulation, strategic engineering